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2024-12-13 11:54:48

After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.MacKenzie, analyst: With the possibility of interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, the yield of US Treasury bonds headed by two-year treasury bonds only slightly declined. Therefore, the market seems to be quite satisfied with the prospect of the Fed cutting interest rates again and then suspending it early next year.UN Secretary-General Guterres: We have the responsibility to make every effort to support different Syrian leaders and ensure that they come together.


US official: Russia may launch another experimental Oreshnik missile into Ukraine in the next few days. It is expected that Russia's Oreshnik missile is not a game changer on the battlefield, but an attempt to intimidate Ukraine.Diplomat: The EU envoy failed to reach an agreement on the 15th round of sanctions against Russia.Traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut. After the CPI report was released, swap traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut before the end of 2025. They now predict that by that time, they will cut interest rates by 87 basis points, which means that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. In 2025, there will be another two interest rate cuts of 25 basis points each time, which is less than the four times proposed by Fed officials in the latest quarterly bitmap in September.


The cash management of raised funds is not standardized, and AsiaInfo's timely financial director was given a regulatory warning by the Shanghai Stock Exchange. The Shanghai Stock Exchange announced on December 11 that it gave a regulatory warning to AsiaInfo's timely financial director Tang Xugu. After the expiration of the term of cash management of raised funds reviewed and approved by the board of directors of the company, the corresponding review and information disclosure procedures were not fulfilled in time, and the cash management of raised funds was not standardized, which violated relevant regulations.Report: In 2024, the revenue of e-sports industry in China exceeded 27.5 billion yuan. According to the 2024 China E-sports Industry Report released on the 11th, the number of e-sports users in China reached 490 million in 2024, up by 0.42% year-on-year. The actual sales revenue of e-sports industry has reached 27.568 billion yuan, up 4.62% year-on-year.MacKenzie, analyst: With the possibility of interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, the yield of US Treasury bonds headed by two-year treasury bonds only slightly declined. Therefore, the market seems to be quite satisfied with the prospect of the Fed cutting interest rates again and then suspending it early next year.

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